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Stock Analyst Note

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust’s first-half net property income rose 8.7% year on year to SGD 630 million, driven by contributions from CapitaSpring and Gallileo, partly offset by the divestment of Bukit Panjang Plaza.
Stock Analyst Note

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust’s second-half 2024 performance was in line with our expectations. Net property income grew by 1.3% year over year, driven by higher rental income from existing assets, partly offset by the absence of contribution from Gallileo due to asset enhancement and the divestment of 21 Collyer Quay in November 2024. However, distribution per unit was flat year on year given an enlarged unit base following the equity fundraising exercise in September 2024. Given no surprises, we retain our fair value estimate of SGD 2.32 per unit after rolling our model and finetuning our assumptions. Based on current prices, the trust is undervalued and trades at an attractive 2025 dividend yield of 5.7%. We like their portfolio of high-quality office and retail assets and expect the completion of asset enhancement works at IMM Building and Gallileo to drive near-term growth.
Stock Analyst Note

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust’s third-quarter business update was in line with our expectations. Aside from the acquisition of ION Orchard, the trust had an uneventful but stable quarter. Operating metrics remain resilient with a portfolio occupancy rate of 96.4% as of end-September 2024, 0.4 percentage points lower from end-June 2024 due to higher vacancy for its Main Airport Center. Management shared that the supply/demand dynamics for Main Airport Center remain slightly challenging, but it is working to lease up the vacancy. Meanwhile, the trust’s rental reversions remain healthy as it posted cumulative nine months positive rental reversions of 9.2% and 11.7% for its retail and office portfolios, respectively. We raise our 2025-26 borrowing cost assumptions following management’s guidance, which led to a 3.5%-5.0% cut in our 2025-28 distribution per unit estimates. Our fair value estimate of SGD 2.32 remains unchanged. Based on the current price, we think the trust is undervalued and trades at an attractive 2025 dividend yield of 5.6%.
Stock Analyst Note

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust has proposed to acquire CapitaLand Investment’s 50% interest in ION Orchard for SGD 1.1 billion. The remaining 50% interest is held by Sun Hung Kai Properties. The acquisition is to be fully funded by an equity fundraising that will raise SGD 350 million via private placement and SGD 747.2 million via preferential offering at discounts between 2.0% and 5.9 % of the volume-weighted average price on Sept. 2, 2024. We retain our fair value estimate of SGD 2.32 per unit and expect minimum change in distribution per unit, or DPU, for 2024, as the acquisition is estimated to complete in the fourth quarter of 2024. We project a 1% accretion in DPUs for 2025-26. The trust is working to achieve tax transparency for ION Orchard, and it expects a further 0.9% accretion to DPU when approved by the relevant authorities (and subject to the agreement of Sun Hung Kai Properties). Overall, we are positive about this move, which helps the trust to diversify its portfolio trade mix and exposes it to the luxury retail segment in Singapore. We think the trust is currently undervalued and encourage existing unitholders to subscribe for the units under the preferential offering.

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