Tractor Supply Co TSCO

Morningstar Rating

Stabilizing Comparable Sales Should Support Future Margin Expansion at Tractor Supply

Business Strategy and Outlook

Tractor Supply is the largest consumer farm specialty retailer in the United States, surpassing $15.5 billion in sales in fiscal 2025. The firm has differentiated itself through its products and customer demographics, which provide underlying support to its brand-intangible assets and wide economic moat rating. At the end of 2025, the store base had grown about 23% over the prior five-year period, to approximately 2,600 locations, including acquired locations from Orscheln and Petsense, but only produced sales and EPS at average annual growth rates over the past three years of 3% and 2%, respectively, with profitability constrained by investments. We forecast the firm will grow to around 3,200 stores by 2035 as it expands into big-box centers in underpenetrated exurbs, with Petsense accounting for roughly 180 units.

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