We initiate coverage on Coherent and Lumentum, two major suppliers of photonics components. Both firms specialize in indium phosphide lasers and transmission modules that power fiber networks and will compete in near- and co-packed optics, the next generation of artificial intelligence connectivity.
Coherent is among a limited number of firms that can meet exploding demand tied to AI infrastructure investment, which should produce meaningful excess profits.
Bears
Artificial intelligence remains the key driver of returns for Coherent, and any meaningful disruption in infrastructure investment could crush demand.
Coherent is a US-based photonics and materials technology company specializing in communications components. The firm produces an extensive portfolio of photonic technologies, including transceivers, semiconductor lasers, and optical components for data center and telecommunications applications. Coherent plays a significant role in AI infrastructure by supplying high-speed optical connectivity that enables less power-hungry, lower-temperature data transmission within and between hyperscale data centers. The firm owns integrated manufacturing capabilities in several photonic substrates, including indium phosphide. Beyond optical data networking, Coherent serves industrial markets with lasers, materials for semiconductor and automotive production, and other precision applications.